Rational Real Strategies Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

HRSFX Fund  USD 15.54  0.02  0.13%   
The fund holds a Beta of 0.008, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Rational Real's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Rational Real is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Rational Real Strategies are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, Rational Real is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
...more
Expense Ratio Date31st of December 2025
Expense Ratio3.0400
  

Rational Real Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,483  in Rational Real Strategies on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  71.00  from holding Rational Real Strategies or generate 4.79% return on investment over 90 days. Rational Real Strategies is currently producing 0.0797% returns and takes up 0.6026% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 5% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Rational, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Rational Real is expected to generate 1.28 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 1.29 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Rational Real Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
15.54
Please note that Rational Real's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Rational Real Strategies holds a recent Real Value of $14.22 per share. The prevailing price of the fund is $15.54. We determine the value of Rational Real Strategies from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we support acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Rational Real is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Rational Mutual Fund. However, Rational Real's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  15.54 Real  14.22 Hype  15.54
The intrinsic value of Rational Real's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Rational Real's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
14.22
Real Value
17.09
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Rational Real Strategies helps investors to forecast how Rational mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Rational Real more accurately as focusing exclusively on Rational Real's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.9415.5416.14
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Rational Real Strategies extending back to August 23, 2016. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Rational Real stands at 15.54, as last reported on the 13th of February 2026, with the highest price reaching 15.54 and the lowest price hitting 15.54 during the day.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Rational Real Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Rational Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 15.54 90 days 15.54 
about 21.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rational Real to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 21.84 (This Rational Real Strategies probability density function shows the probability of Rational Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Rational Real has a beta of 0.008. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Rational Real average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Rational Real Strategies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Rational Real Strategies has an alpha of 0.0639, implying that it can generate a 0.0639 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Rational Real Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Rational Real

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rational Real Strategies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.9415.5416.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.6214.2217.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Rational Real. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Rational Real's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Rational Real's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Rational Real Strategies.

Rational Real Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rational Real is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rational Real's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rational Real Strategies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rational Real within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.36
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Rational Real Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rational Real for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rational Real Strategies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 71.51% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Rational Real Fundamentals Growth

Rational Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Rational Real, and Rational Real fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Rational Mutual Fund performance.

About Rational Real Performance

Evaluating Rational Real's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Rational Real has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Rational Real has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by implementing options strategies on the Standard Poors 500 Index , futures contracts on the SP 500, or options and futures contracts on similar U.S. stock indexes, andor their underlying constituents. Options strategies may include buying and selling options, buying and selling option spreads, and writing covered call options.

Things to note about Rational Real Strategies performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Rational Real for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Rational Real Strategies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 71.51% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Rational Real's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Rational Real's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Rational Real's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Rational Real's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Rational Real's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Rational Real's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Rational Real's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Rational Real's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Rational Real's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Rational Real's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Rational Real's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Rational Mutual Fund

Rational Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rational Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rational with respect to the benefits of owning Rational Real security.
Pattern Recognition
Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges
Sectors
List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities
Portfolio Dashboard
Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments